City & StateTier 2
Quinnipiac poll of likely voters: Hochul 55%, Blakeman 41%, a 14-point gap, down from 19 points in September
Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,167 likely voters Oct 15-19 (margin of error 3.8 points, including design effect) and released results Oct 21. Hochul 55%, Blakeman 41%, with 2% undecided and 2% refused. Quinnipiac's Sept 17-20 poll had Hochul 58%, Blakeman 39%. Blakeman leads 51-44 among independents. Primary source: poll.qu.edu release.
Related fact-checks
A new poll shows Hochul leading Blakeman 49%-37% (Moxie Strategies, 813 voters, MOE ±4.3)Unverified"All of the polls we have seen in the last two months have us virtually tied with Kathy Hochul." — Bruce Blakeman, Aug 13, 2026, disputing the Siena likely-voter pollMostly FalseA July 2026 poll shows Hochul leading Blakeman by only 47-41.Unverified
More on polls
PIX11 / Emerson College Polling · Oct 12, 2026Emerson/PIX11 poll of likely voters: Hochul 52%, Blakeman 40%, 8% don't know, a 12-point gap released the day after Marist showed 11Quinnipiac University Poll · Sep 23, 2026Quinnipiac's first poll of the race: Hochul 58%, Blakeman 39% among likely voters, a 19-point margin released hours after Siena showed 9Siena Research Institute · Sep 23, 2026Siena poll of likely voters: Hochul 50%, Blakeman 41%, little changed from 49-39 in August; independents lean Blakeman 44-39, and voters say 51-30 that Trump's endorsement hurts himPolitical Wire · Sep 21, 2026A "Moxie Strategies" poll circulated Sept. 19 puts Hochul at 49% and Blakeman at 37% with 14% other/undecided among 813 voters (MOE ±4.3); no field dates, sponsor or methodology have been published, so The Civic Pulse is not logging it in the poll tracker
Source: City & State · Oct 22, 2026 · Credibility Tier 2 · Permalink https://reviewhochul.com/news/quinnipiac-hochul-55-blakeman-41-2026-10
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