A Civic Pulse publication
UnverifiedViral social-media claim (amplified July 7-8, 2026) · Jul 10, 2026

A July 2026 poll shows Hochul leading Blakeman by only 47-41.

Our Verdict — Why

Originally circulated Jul 7-8 by an anonymous X account with no pollster, methodology, sample, or field dates. On Jul 12, a South Shore Press opinion column by GOP consultant Stefan Mychajliw attributed the 47-41 numbers to the Republican-aligned firm co/efficient (image credited "co/efficient"). UPDATE Aug 4: a Messenger article republished by Long Island Life & Politics adds further attribution — field dates June 30-July 2 and sponsor "Coalition to Protect Nassau Taxpayers" (a group whose website still references former county executive Laura Curran), plus internals (Hochul favorability 32/50, re-elect 33/55; Blakeman 26 fav / 21 unfav / 32 never heard of him). Still missing: sample size, margin of error, mode, and any official co/efficient release — no independent verification. The numbers remain below the standard for inclusion as a poll. Every credible named-pollster survey in this window shows Hochul ahead by ~18-20 points (Siena, June 17-23: 52-32).

Evidence — 4 Sources