Vetted coverage of Governor Hochul's administration, grouped by day. Every item names its publication and carries a source-credibility tier — Tier 1 primary/wire, Tier 2 established outlet, Tier 3 secondary. No spin; each story links to its original source.
Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,167 likely voters Oct 15-19 (margin of error 3.8 points, including design effect) and released results Oct 21. Hochul 55%, Blakeman 41%, with 2% undecided and 2% refused. Quinnipiac's Sept 17-20 poll had Hochul 58%, Blakeman 39%. Blakeman leads 51-44 among independents. Primary source: poll.qu.edu release.
Emerson College Polling, sponsored by PIX11, surveyed 900 likely voters Oct. 3-5. Unrounded toplines were Hochul 52.41%, Blakeman 39.74%, don't know 7.85%. The Marist poll (Oct. 1-4, registered voters) had it 53-42. Margin of error was not found in accessible coverage.
Political Wire reported a Moxie Strategies survey of 813 New York voters showing Hochul 49, Blakeman 37, other/undecided 14, MOE ±4.3. Moxie Strategies is a New Jersey-rooted public-affairs and communications firm, not an established independent pollster, and as of this refresh no toplines document, field dates, sample frame (RV vs. LV) or sponsor could be located. The 12-point margin is in line with Siena's Aug. 3-6 likely-voter result (49-39). Logged as unverified in fact_checks; it will be moved to the poll tracker only if a methodology release surfaces.
A day after Siena's first likely-voter poll put Hochul ahead 49-39, Blakeman rejected the result, saying "all of the polls we have seen in the last two months have us virtually tied with Kathy Hochul" and hitting Hochul on taxes, electric bills and crime. No public poll in that window shows a tie; the closest, a Red Oak Strategic poll commissioned by the pro-Blakeman Strong and Safe super PAC, showed Hochul up 4.